Adam Wainwright has been great at home this year posting a 2.02 ERA. He had a few rough outings, but the Cardinals gave him some extra time off and he's back with what I think will be a fresh arm facing a Pirates team that is leading the division. Pirates send Charlie Morton to the mound who has a 4.08 ERA on the road where he has struggled a ton over his career especially against the Cardinals who he has a 6.53 ERA in his last 4 road starts. Cardinals are +5.03 runs per 9 over their last 10 when compared with the Pirates offense vs. RHP over their last 10 games. The only advantage the Pirates have here is the bullpen, but I feel strongly that Wainwright will go 7+ innings because how fresh he is. His worst start all year on 5 or more days rest is 7 IP 2 ER and he posts a 1.52 ERA over 9 starts with three complete games on 5 or more days rest.

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